· Analysis updated 16:21 UTC
Renate U19 vs Vicenza U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.69 expected goals for Renate U19 and 1.46 for Vicenza U19, a combined total of 3.16. That distribution gives Renate U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
66.6% probability
Expected goals
1.69 – 1.46
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Renate U19 home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Vicenza U19 away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Renate U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 43% / 24% / 33% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.69 goals for Renate U19 and 1.46 for Vicenza U19, a combined 3.16 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
67%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
57%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.6%
- 2–18.9%
- 1–27.7%
- 1–07.2%
- 2–26.5%
Recent form
Renate U19
- 2026-10-10T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Cittadella U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Udinese U19 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Lecco U19 · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Vicenza U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Reggiana U19 · 3-1 (W)
Vicenza U19
- 2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Palermo U19 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-05-09T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Reggiana U19 · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-05-02T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Renate U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-04-25T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Udinese U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-04-18T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Cittadella U19 · 3-3 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Campionato Primavera - 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Renate U19 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 |
| 1 | Perugia U19 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 |
| 2 | Vicenza U19 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Catanzaro U19 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 |
| 3 | Cremonese U19 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Avellino U19 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Virtus Entella U19 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Bari U19 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 |
| 5 | Padova U19 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Palermo U19 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Mantova U19 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 |
| 6 | Benevento U19 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 |
| 7 | Sampdoria U19 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Spezia U19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Modena U19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Monopoli U19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Venezia U19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Pescara U19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Brescia U19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Latina U19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 11 | Cittadella U19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 11 | Pisa U19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 12 | Udinese U19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 |
| 12 | Ascoli U19 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
| 13 | Sudtirol U19 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3 | 2 |
| 13 | Napoli U19 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 14 | Reggiana U19 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 14 | Frosinone U19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -10 | 0 |
| 15 | Pro Vercelli U19 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 | 1 |
| 15 | Cosenza U19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -10 | 0 |
| 16 | Lecco U19 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -7 | 1 |
| 16 | Salernitana U19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -13 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 66.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.
A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.