Rennes vs Stade Brestois 29 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.81 expected goals for Rennes and 1.53 for Stade Brestois 29, a combined total of 3.34. That distribution gives Rennes the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 65% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws roughly 55% of the time.

Model pick

Rennes or Draw

67.3% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.81 – 1.53

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Rennes win45%

Draw23%

Stade Brestois 29 win33%

Double chance 1X

67%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

55%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals85%

Over 2.5 goals65%

Over 3.5 goals43%

Both teams to score65%

Correct score

1–19.8%
2–18.9%
1–27.5%
2–26.8%
1–06.4%

Why the model likes this

Rennes home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Rennes to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 45% / 23% / 33% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.81 goals for Rennes and 1.53 for Stade Brestois 29, a combined 3.34 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 65% and both teams to score at 65%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Recent form

Rennes

2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sunderland · 1-2 (L)
2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Brentford · 2-4 (L)
2026-08-08T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Brentford U21 · 1-2 (L)
2026-08-02T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Galatasaray · 3-3 (D)
2026-07-25T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Club Brugge KV · 2-1 (W)

Stade Brestois 29

2026-08-08T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Venezia · 2-2 (D)
2026-08-05T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Stade Briochin · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-01T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Guingamp · 3-3 (D)
2026-07-22T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Wakrah · 0-2 (L)
2026-07-18T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Concarneau · 2-2 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Ligue 1 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Auxerre	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Angers	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Stade Brestois 29	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Lorient	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Le Havre	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Le Mans	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Lille	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Nice	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Lyon	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Marseille	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Paris FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Paris Saint Germain	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Lens	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Rennes	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Strasbourg	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Toulouse	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Estac Troyes	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.