· Analysis updated 09:32 UTC
Republic of Ireland U17 vs Hungary U17 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.58 expected goals for Republic of Ireland U17 and 1.56 for Hungary U17, a combined total of 3.14. That distribution gives Republic of Ireland U17 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
62.1% probability
Expected goals
1.58 – 1.56
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Republic of Ireland U17 home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Republic of Ireland U17 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 38% / 24% / 38% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.58 goals for Republic of Ireland U17 and 1.56 for Hungary U17, a combined 3.14 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 61% and both teams to score at 63%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
62%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
62%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.7%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–28.3%
- 1–06.8%
- 0–16.8%
Recent form
Republic of Ireland U17
- 2026-09-30T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Czechia U17 · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-27T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Poland U17 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-23T17:30:00.000Z · A vs England U17 · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-03-31T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Slovakia U17 · 7-0 (W)
- 2026-03-28T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Croatia U17 · 0-2 (L)
Hungary U17
- 2026-05-20T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Austria U17 · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-04-28T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Luxembourg U17 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-04-25T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Armenia U17 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-04-22T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Liechtenstein U17 · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-03-28T09:30:00.000Z · H vs Moldova U17 · 3-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 62.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.
A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.