Stadion Miejski w Rzeszowie · Analysis updated 10:00 UTC
Resovia Rzeszów vs Tychy 71 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.55 expected goals for Resovia Rzeszów and 1.49 for Tychy 71, a combined total of 2.04. That distribution gives Tychy 71 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 60%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 33% for over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 19%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 60% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Tychy 71 win
60.4% probability
Expected goals
0.55 – 1.49
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Resovia Rzeszów home form
2 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Tychy 71 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 60%, against 14% / 26% / 60% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.55 goals for Resovia Rzeszów and 1.49 for Tychy 71, a combined 2.04 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 33% and both teams to score at 33%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 19%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
40%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
87%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–119.4%
- 0–214.4%
- 0–013.0%
- 1–110.6%
- 1–27.9%
Recent form
Resovia Rzeszów
- 2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Sokół Kleczew · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-12T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Olimpia Grudziądz · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Avia Świdnik · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-20T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Stal Stalowa Wola · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-11T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Lechia Zielona Góra · 0-1 (L)
Tychy 71
- 2026-08-23T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Śląsk Wrocław II · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-15T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Resovia Rzeszów · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-09T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Olimpia Grudziądz · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-05T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-07-31T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Stal Stalowa Wola · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
II Liga - East table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Znicz Pruszków | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 29 |
| 2 | Tychy 71 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 26 |
| 3 | Górnik Łęczna | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 23 |
| 4 | Olimpia Grudziądz | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 22 |
| 5 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 |
| 6 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19 |
| 7 | Podhale Nowy Targ | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 19 |
| 8 | Stal Stalowa Wola | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 19 |
| 9 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 18 |
| 10 | Hutnik Kraków | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 18 |
| 11 | Chojniczanka Chojnice | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 18 |
| 12 | Avia Świdnik | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -2 | 17 |
| 13 | Legia Warszawa II | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 16 |
| 14 | Lechia Zielona Góra | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 16 |
| 15 | Sokół Kleczew | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -11 | 12 |
| 16 | Śląsk Wrocław II | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 | Świt Skolwin | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -16 | 9 |
| 18 | Resovia Rzeszów | 13 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -13 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Tychy 71 win, at 60.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 33% and over 2.5 goals at 33%.
A 60% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.