Vodafone Ratu Cakobau Park · Analysis updated 02:32 UTC
Rewa vs Suva Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.35 expected goals for Rewa and 0.81 for Suva, a combined total of 3.16. That distribution gives Rewa the largest share of the 1X2 market at 72%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 72% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Rewa win
71.7% probability
Expected goals
2.35 – 0.81
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Rewa home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Suva away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Rewa to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 72%, against 72% / 17% / 11% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.35 goals for Rewa and 0.81 for Suva, a combined 3.16 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
89%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
28%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–011.7%
- 1–09.9%
- 2–19.5%
- 3–09.2%
- 1–18.1%
Recent form
Rewa
- 2026-08-19T03:00:00.000Z · A vs Auckland City · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-15T03:00:00.000Z · H vs Toti City · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-12T04:00:00.000Z · H vs Tupapa Maraerenga · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-08-09T03:00:00.000Z · A vs ABM Galaxy · 1-4 (L)
- 2025-09-28T01:00:00.000Z · H vs Nasinu · 2-0 (W)
Suva
- 2025-09-28T01:00:00.000Z · A vs Lautoka · 2-1 (W)
- 2025-09-21T03:00:00.000Z · A vs Rewa · 0-0 (D)
- 2025-09-14T03:00:00.000Z · H vs Labasa · 1-1 (D)
- 2025-08-24T01:00:00.000Z · H vs Nasinu · 0-0 (D)
- 2025-07-27T01:00:00.000Z · A vs Nadroga · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
National Football League table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Rewa win, at 71.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.
A 72% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.