· Analysis updated 06:24 UTC
Rheindorf Altach II vs Hohenems Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.99 expected goals for Rheindorf Altach II and 2.21 for Hohenems, a combined total of 3.20. That distribution gives Hohenems the largest share of the 1X2 market at 65%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 65% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Hohenems win
65.0% probability
Expected goals
0.99 – 2.21
Model version
poisson-market-v1
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Rheindorf Altach II home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Hohenems away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
35%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
84%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–210.0%
- 1–29.9%
- 0–19.0%
- 1–18.9%
- 0–37.3%
Odds vs model — value finder
Bookmaker prices with the margin removed (1X2 overround 13.5%), compared with our model probability.
Best value: Both teams to score — No at 2.30 (model 44.1% vs market 39.9%, edge +4.2 pts).
| Market | Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Fair odds | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | NoValue | 2.30 | 39.9% | 44.1% | 2.27 | +4.2 |
| Double chance | Home/Draw | 2.75 | 34.2% | 34.9% | 2.87 | +0.7 |
| Match result | Away | 1.36 | 64.8% | 65.0% | 1.54 | +0.2 |
| Double chance | Draw/Away | 1.12 | 84.0% | 84.2% | 1.19 | +0.2 |
| Match result | Draw | 4.60 | 19.2% | 19.2% | 5.21 | 0.0 |
| Match result | Home | 5.50 | 16.0% | 15.7% | 6.37 | -0.3 |
| Double chance | Home/Away | 1.15 | 81.8% | 80.7% | 1.24 | -1.1 |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 1.53 | 60.1% | 55.9% | 1.79 | -4.2 |
Market % has the bookmaker margin removed so it is comparable with the model. Edge is model % minus market %; it is an estimate, not a guarantee.
Recent form
Rheindorf Altach II
- 2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Imst · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Kufstein · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Hohenems · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Kitzbühel · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Schwaz · 2-4 (L)
Hohenems
- 2026-10-24T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Swarovski Tirol II · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z · A vs SVG Reichenau · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Dornbirn · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Rheindorf Altach II · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Kufstein · 3-1 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · Rheindorf Altach II 1-2 Hohenems (Regionalliga - West)
- 2026-04-12T13:00:00.000Z · Rheindorf Altach II 0-2 Hohenems (Regionalliga - West)
- 2025-09-14T13:00:00.000Z · Rheindorf Altach II 1-2 Hohenems (Regionalliga - West)
- 2025-05-03T15:00:00.000Z · Rheindorf Altach II 0-3 Hohenems (Regionalliga - West)
- 2024-09-28T13:00:00.000Z · Rheindorf Altach II 0-0 Hohenems (Regionalliga - West)
- 2024-04-27T15:00:00.000Z · Rheindorf Altach II 1-0 Hohenems (Regionalliga - West)
- 2023-09-17T13:30:00.000Z · Rheindorf Altach II 4-4 Hohenems (Regionalliga - West)
- 2023-03-17T18:00:00.000Z · Rheindorf Altach II 0-5 Hohenems (Regionalliga - West)
- 2022-09-04T08:30:00.000Z · Rheindorf Altach II 4-1 Hohenems (Regionalliga - West)
- 2019-09-14T15:00:00.000Z · Rheindorf Altach II 4-0 Hohenems (Regionalliga - West)
Regionalliga - West table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Imst | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 31 |
| 2 | Schwaz | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 31 |
| 3 | Hohenems | 13 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 30 |
| 4 | Kitzbühel | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 25 |
| 5 | Dornbirn | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 24 |
| 6 | Röthis | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 24 |
| 7 | Swarovski Tirol II | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 20 |
| 8 | SK St. Johann | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 18 |
| 9 | Fügen | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -7 | 16 |
| 10 | Lauterach | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 | SVG Reichenau | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 15 |
| 12 | Kufstein | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 14 |
| 13 | Lochau | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -15 | 11 |
| 14 | Rheindorf Altach II | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -14 | 9 |
| 15 | Lustenau | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -21 | 7 |
| 16 | Wolfurt | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | -23 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Hohenems win, at 65.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.