Rheindorf Altach II vs SK St. Johann Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.50 expected goals for Rheindorf Altach II and 1.50 for SK St. Johann, a combined total of 4.00. That distribution gives Rheindorf Altach II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 76% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Rheindorf Altach II win

59.4% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.50 – 1.50

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Rheindorf Altach II home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Rheindorf Altach II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 59%, against 59% / 19% / 22% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.50 goals for Rheindorf Altach II and 1.50 for SK St. Johann, a combined 4.00 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 76% and both teams to score at 71%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

Match result (1X2)

Rheindorf Altach II win59%

Draw19%

SK St. Johann win22%

Double chance 1X

78%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

41%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals91%

Over 2.5 goals76%

Over 3.5 goals57%

Both teams to score71%

Correct score

2–18.6%
3–17.2%
1–16.9%
2–26.4%
2–05.7%

Recent form

Rheindorf Altach II

2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Imst · 0-2 (L)
2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Kufstein · 0-4 (L)
2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Hohenems · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Kitzbühel · 0-4 (L)
2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Schwaz · 2-4 (L)

SK St. Johann

2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Imst · 0-0 (D)
2026-09-06T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Wolfurt · 1-0 (W)
2026-08-28T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Swarovski Tirol II · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-21T17:30:00.000Z · H vs SVG Reichenau · 3-3 (D)
2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Dornbirn · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Regionalliga - West table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Imst	13	10	1	2	18	31
2	Schwaz	13	10	1	2	13	31
3	Hohenems	13	10	0	3	17	30
4	Kitzbühel	13	8	1	4	10	25
5	Dornbirn	13	7	3	3	12	24
6	Röthis	13	7	3	3	4	24
7	Swarovski Tirol II	13	6	2	5	11	20
8	SK St. Johann	13	5	3	5	2	18
9	Fügen	13	5	1	7	-7	16
10	Lauterach	13	4	3	6	-3	15
11	SVG Reichenau	13	4	3	6	-5	15
12	Kufstein	13	3	5	5	1	14
13	Lochau	13	3	2	8	-15	11
14	Rheindorf Altach II	13	2	3	8	-14	9
15	Lustenau	13	1	4	8	-21	7
16	Wolfurt	13	1	1	11	-23	4

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Rheindorf Altach II win, at 59.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 71% and over 2.5 goals at 76%.

A 59% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.