CASHPOINT Arena · Analysis updated 15:11 UTC
Rheindorf Altach W vs Sturm Graz W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.30 expected goals for Rheindorf Altach W and 2.11 for Sturm Graz W, a combined total of 3.42. That distribution gives Sturm Graz W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Sturm Graz W win
56.0% probability
Expected goals
1.30 – 2.11
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Rheindorf Altach W home form
2 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Sturm Graz W away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sturm Graz W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 23% / 21% / 56% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.30 goals for Rheindorf Altach W and 2.11 for Sturm Graz W, a combined 3.42 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
44%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
77%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.6%
- 1–19.0%
- 0–27.3%
- 0–16.9%
- 1–36.7%
Recent form
Rheindorf Altach W
- 2026-08-29T13:00:00.000Z · H vs LASK W · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-23T09:00:00.000Z · A vs SK Rapid W · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-16T09:00:00.000Z · A vs St. Pölten W · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-01T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Sturm Graz W · 2-6 (L)
- 2026-05-23T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W · 0-1 (L)
Sturm Graz W
- 2026-10-23T16:00:00.000Z · H vs LASK W · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-10-18T10:45:00.000Z · A vs Rheindorf Altach W · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · A vs St. Pölten W · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-30T16:30:00.000Z · H vs VfL Wolfsburg W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-27T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Austria Wien W · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Frauenliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sturm Graz W | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 26 |
| 2 | St. Pölten W | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 25 |
| 3 | Austria Wien W | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 23 |
| 4 | Salzburg W | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 19 |
| 5 | Rheindorf Altach W | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 17 |
| 6 | LASK W | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 11 |
| 7 | First Vienna W | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -8 | 9 |
| 8 | SK Rapid W | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -13 | 7 |
| 9 | Südburgenland W | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -21 | 6 |
| 10 | Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -26 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Sturm Graz W win, at 56.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.
A 56% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.