Austria · Frauenliga · Relegation Group - 1908:30

3 – 3

Sunday, 26 April 2026

· Analysis updated 00:39 UTC

Rheindorf Altach W vs Südburgenland W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.92 expected goals for Rheindorf Altach W and 0.86 for Südburgenland W, a combined total of 3.78. That distribution gives Rheindorf Altach W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 79%, with the draw at 13%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 73% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 79% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Rheindorf Altach W win

79.1% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.92 – 0.86

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Rheindorf Altach W home form

    2 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Südburgenland W away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Rheindorf Altach W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 79%, against 79% / 13% / 8% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.92 goals for Rheindorf Altach W and 0.86 for Südburgenland W, a combined 3.78 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Rheindorf Altach W win79%
Draw13%
Südburgenland W win8%

Double chance 1X

92%

Double chance 12

87%

Double chance X2

21%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%
Over 2.5 goals73%
Over 3.5 goals52%
Both teams to score54%

Correct score

  • 2–09.7%
  • 3–09.5%
  • 2–18.4%
  • 3–18.1%
  • 4–06.9%

Recent form

Rheindorf Altach W

  • 2026-08-29T13:00:00.000Z · H vs LASK W · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-08-23T09:00:00.000Z · A vs SK Rapid W · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-16T09:00:00.000Z · A vs St. Pölten W · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-01T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Sturm Graz W · 2-6 (L)
  • 2026-05-23T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W · 0-1 (L)

Südburgenland W

  • 2026-10-25T13:00:00.000Z · H vs First Vienna W · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-17T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Salzburg W · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs LASK W · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-27T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Rheindorf Altach W · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T18:00:00.000Z · A vs St. Pölten W · 1-9 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Frauenliga table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Sturm Graz W118212126
2St. Pölten W108112425
3Austria Wien W107212623
4Salzburg W11614119
5Rheindorf Altach W10523417
6LASK W11326-811
7First Vienna W11164-89
8SK Rapid W10145-137
9Südburgenland W11137-216
10Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W11119-264

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Rheindorf Altach W win, at 79.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 73%.

A 79% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.