· Analysis updated 12:02 UTC
Richelle United vs Entité Manageoise Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.45 expected goals for Richelle United and 1.61 for Entité Manageoise, a combined total of 4.06. That distribution gives Richelle United the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 77% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Richelle United win
56.2% probability
Expected goals
2.45 – 1.61
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Richelle United home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Entité Manageoise away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Richelle United to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 56% / 19% / 25% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.45 goals for Richelle United and 1.61 for Entité Manageoise, a combined 4.06 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
75%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
44%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.3%
- 1–16.8%
- 3–16.8%
- 2–26.7%
- 1–25.5%
Recent form
Richelle United
- 2026-09-26T18:00:00.000Z · H vs SG-Tertre-Hautrage · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Crossing Schaerbeek · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-09-12T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Ostiches · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-06T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Jette · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-08-29T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Union Namur · 2-0 (W)
Entité Manageoise
- 2026-10-25T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Acren-Lessines · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Aywaille · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · H vs La Calamine · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-03T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Stade Mouscronnois · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:30:00.000Z · H vs RUS Binche · 1-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Second Amateur Division - ACFF table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SG-Tertre-Hautrage | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Crossing Schaerbeek | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 20 |
| 3 | Jette | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 20 |
| 4 | Stade Mouscronnois | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 17 |
| 5 | Huy | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | Braine | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 17 |
| 7 | Ganshoren | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 16 |
| 8 | AS Eupen II | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Acren-Lessines | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14 |
| 10 | Ostiches | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14 |
| 11 | Richelle United | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 | La Calamine | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 13 |
| 13 | RUS Binche | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 14 | Stade Verviers | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12 |
| 15 | Stockay-Warfusée | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 12 |
| 16 | Entité Manageoise | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 8 |
| 17 | Union Namur | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -21 | 4 |
| 18 | Aywaille | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -18 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Richelle United win, at 56.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 73% and over 2.5 goals at 77%.
A 56% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.