Sportpark Middelmors · Analysis updated 02:59 UTC
Rijnsburgse Boys vs Sparta Rotterdam II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.80 expected goals for Rijnsburgse Boys and 2.92 for Sparta Rotterdam II, a combined total of 4.71. That distribution gives Sparta Rotterdam II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 61%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 85% for over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 61% favourite still loses or draws roughly 39% of the time.
Model pick
Sparta Rotterdam II to Win
60.8% probability
Expected goals
1.80 – 2.92
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
39%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
78%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–26.9%
- 1–36.7%
- 2–26.2%
- 2–36.0%
- 1–44.9%
Why the model likes this
Sparta Rotterdam II away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sparta Rotterdam II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 61%, against 22% / 17% / 61% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.80 goals for Rijnsburgse Boys and 2.92 for Sparta Rotterdam II, a combined 4.71 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 85% and both teams to score at 79%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%.
Recent form
Rijnsburgse Boys
Sparta Rotterdam II
- 2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · H vs ROHDA Raalte · 6-1 (W)
- 2026-08-08T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Excelsior Maassluis · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-07-25T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Jong AZ · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-07-18T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Spakenburg · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-07-11T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Katwijk · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Tweede Divisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sparta Rotterdam II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
| 2 | Quick Boys | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
| 3 | De Treffers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 4 | Almere City II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 5 | HHC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Hoek | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Kloetinge | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Ijsselmeervogels | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Spakenburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Kozakken Boys | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 | Katwijk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | AFC Amsterdam | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 13 | Barendrecht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 14 | Koninklijke HFC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | GVVV Veenendaal | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Rijnsburgse Boys | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | ROHDA Raalte | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 18 | RKAV Volendam | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.