Rijnvogels vs Vvsb Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.56 expected goals for Rijnvogels and 1.03 for Vvsb, a combined total of 3.59. That distribution gives Rijnvogels the largest share of the 1X2 market at 70%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 70% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Rijnvogels win

70.4% probability

High confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

2.56 – 1.03

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Rijnvogels home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Vvsb away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 7 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Rijnvogels win70%

Draw17%

Vvsb win13%

Double chance 1X

87%

Double chance 12

84%

Double chance X2

30%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals87%

Over 2.5 goals69%

Over 3.5 goals48%

Both teams to score59%

Correct score

2–19.3%
2–09.1%
3–17.9%
3–07.7%
1–17.3%

Recent form

Rijnvogels

2026-10-03T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Groene Ster · 5-1 (W)
2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z · A vs UDI '19 · 4-0 (W)
2026-09-22T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Vvsb · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-19T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Poortugaal · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-13T12:30:00.000Z · A vs UNA · 4-1 (W)

Vvsb

2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · A vs TOGB · 3-3 (D)
2026-10-10T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Blauw Geel · 0-2 (L)
2026-10-03T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Excelsior Maassluis · 2-3 (L)
2026-09-26T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Roosendaal · 1-3 (L)
2026-09-22T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Rijnvogels · 1-0 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-05-23T13:30:00.000Z · Rijnvogels 0-3 Vvsb (Derde Divisie - Sunday)
2025-12-13T17:00:00.000Z · Rijnvogels 1-3 Vvsb (Derde Divisie - Sunday)
2025-05-17T13:30:00.000Z · Rijnvogels 0-3 Vvsb (Derde Divisie - Sunday)
2024-12-07T13:30:00.000Z · Rijnvogels 2-0 Vvsb (Derde Divisie - Sunday)
2024-02-03T13:30:00.000Z · Rijnvogels 1-0 Vvsb (Derde Divisie)
2023-09-09T13:30:00.000Z · Rijnvogels 3-2 Vvsb (Derde Divisie)
2023-08-12T13:30:00.000Z · Rijnvogels 3-3 Vvsb (KNVB Beker)

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Rijnvogels win, at 70.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.

A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.