Denmark · 3. Division · Matchweek 211:00
RingstedDLLDL

2 – 3

Saturday, 8 August 2026

FC HelsingorDLWLW

Ringsted Stadion · Analysis updated 03:43 UTC

Ringsted vs FC Helsingor Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.50 expected goals for Ringsted and 1.50 for FC Helsingor, a combined total of 3.00. That distribution gives Ringsted the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

62.1% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.50 – 1.50

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Ringsted home form

    3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • FC Helsingor away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Ringsted to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 38% / 24% / 38% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.50 goals for Ringsted and 1.50 for FC Helsingor, a combined 3.00 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Ringsted win38%
Draw24%
FC Helsingor win38%

Double chance 1X

62%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

62%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Over 3.5 goals35%
Both teams to score60%

Correct score

  • 1–111.2%
  • 1–28.4%
  • 2–18.4%
  • 0–17.5%
  • 1–07.5%

Recent form

Ringsted

  • 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Ishøj · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Næsby · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Holbæk B&I · 2-5 (L)
  • 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Brønshøj · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-04T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Frem · 2-5 (L)

FC Helsingor

  • 2026-10-23T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Frem · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Ishøj · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z · H vs ASA Aarhus · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Hørsholm-Usserød · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Holbæk B&I · 5-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

3. Division table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Holbæk B&I139221329
2Brønshøj137421125
3Vanløse13661824
4FC Helsingor13634421
5Hørsholm-Usserød13544719
6Næsby13535318
7Sundby13517016
8ASA Aarhus13517-316
9Ishøj13436-815
10Frem13355014
11Holstebro13418-1613
12Ringsted13139-196

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 62.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.

A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.