Ringsted Stadion · Analysis updated 14:51 UTC
Ringsted vs Frem Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.67 expected goals for Ringsted and 2.30 for Frem, a combined total of 3.97. That distribution gives Frem the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 76% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Frem win
52.2% probability
Expected goals
1.67 – 2.30
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Ringsted home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Frem away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Frem to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 28% / 20% / 52% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.67 goals for Ringsted and 2.30 for Frem, a combined 3.97 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
48%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
72%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–28.3%
- 1–17.2%
- 2–27.0%
- 1–36.4%
- 2–16.0%
Recent form
Ringsted
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Ishøj · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Næsby · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Holbæk B&I · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Brønshøj · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-04T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Frem · 2-5 (L)
Frem
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Brønshøj · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Sundby · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Ishøj · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Holstebro · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-09T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Roskilde · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Holbæk B&I | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 23 |
| 2 | Brønshøj | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | Vanløse | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 20 |
| 4 | FC Helsingor | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | Næsby | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 17 |
| 6 | ASA Aarhus | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 16 |
| 7 | Hørsholm-Usserød | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 |
| 8 | Holstebro | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -8 | 13 |
| 9 | Frem | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Ishøj | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 11 |
| 11 | Sundby | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Ringsted | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -16 | 5 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Frem win, at 52.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 73% and over 2.5 goals at 76%.
A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.