Ringsted Stadion · Analysis updated 01:23 UTC
Ringsted vs Hørsholm-Usserød Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.88 expected goals for Ringsted and 2.60 for Hørsholm-Usserød, a combined total of 4.48. That distribution gives Hørsholm-Usserød the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 82% for over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Hørsholm-Usserød win
53.8% probability
Expected goals
1.88 – 2.60
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Ringsted home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Hørsholm-Usserød away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hørsholm-Usserød to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 28% / 19% / 54% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.88 goals for Ringsted and 2.60 for Hørsholm-Usserød, a combined 4.48 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
46%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
72%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–27.2%
- 2–26.8%
- 1–36.3%
- 2–35.9%
- 1–15.6%
Recent form
Ringsted
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Ishøj · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Næsby · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Holbæk B&I · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Brønshøj · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-04T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Frem · 2-5 (L)
Hørsholm-Usserød
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Vanløse · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-16T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Aarhus Fremad · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Holbæk B&I · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Næsby · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-08-29T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Brønshøj · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Holbæk B&I | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 29 |
| 2 | Brønshøj | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 25 |
| 3 | Vanløse | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 |
| 4 | FC Helsingor | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 21 |
| 5 | Hørsholm-Usserød | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 19 |
| 6 | Næsby | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 18 |
| 7 | Sundby | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 16 |
| 8 | ASA Aarhus | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -3 | 16 |
| 9 | Ishøj | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 15 |
| 10 | Frem | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 | Holstebro | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -16 | 13 |
| 12 | Ringsted | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | -19 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Hørsholm-Usserød win, at 53.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 78% and over 2.5 goals at 82%.
A 54% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.