Rizespor vs Trabzonspor Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.13 expected goals for Rizespor and 1.45 for Trabzonspor, a combined total of 2.58. That distribution gives Trabzonspor the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Draw/Away

70.6% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.13 – 1.45

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Rizespor home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Trabzonspor away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Rizespor win29%

Draw26%

Trabzonspor win45%

Double chance 1X

55%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

71%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals73%

Over 2.5 goals48%

Over 3.5 goals26%

Both teams to score52%

Correct score

1–112.4%
0–111.0%
1–29.0%
1–08.6%
0–28.0%

Recent form

Rizespor

2026-10-16T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Çorum FK · 1-2 (L)
2026-10-10T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Fenerbahçe · 0-3 (L)
2026-10-03T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Boluspor · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-20T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Göztepe · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Eyüpspor · 2-0 (W)

Trabzonspor

2026-10-22T16:45:00.000Z · H vs Heart Of Midlothian · 2-0 (W)
2026-10-19T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Beşiktaş · 2-0 (W)
2026-10-15T16:45:00.000Z · A vs KuPS · 4-2 (W)
2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Samsunspor · 3-0 (W)
2026-10-01T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Drogheda United · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-03-14T17:00:00.000Z · Rizespor 0-1 Trabzonspor (Süper Lig)
2025-10-18T14:00:00.000Z · Rizespor 1-2 Trabzonspor (Süper Lig)
2025-04-13T16:00:00.000Z · Rizespor 0-2 Trabzonspor (Süper Lig)
2025-02-26T17:30:00.000Z · Rizespor 2-5 Trabzonspor (Türkiye Kupası)
2024-11-09T16:00:00.000Z · Rizespor 3-1 Trabzonspor (Süper Lig)
2024-01-25T17:00:00.000Z · Rizespor 1-0 Trabzonspor (Süper Lig)
2023-08-26T16:15:00.000Z · Rizespor 3-2 Trabzonspor (Süper Lig)
2022-03-18T17:00:00.000Z · Rizespor 3-2 Trabzonspor (Süper Lig)
2021-10-29T17:00:00.000Z · Rizespor 1-2 Trabzonspor (Süper Lig)
2021-04-10T13:00:00.000Z · Rizespor 0-0 Trabzonspor (Süper Lig)

Süper Lig table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Amed	9	6	2	1	10	20
2	Galatasaray	8	6	1	1	6	19
3	Fenerbahçe	8	5	1	2	16	16
4	Trabzonspor	8	5	1	2	13	16
5	Kasımpaşa	9	4	4	1	4	16
6	Beşiktaş	8	5	0	3	6	15
7	Kocaelispor	9	5	0	4	2	15
8	Erzurumspor FK	9	4	2	3	-4	14
9	Çorum FK	8	4	1	3	5	13
10	Alanyaspor	9	3	3	3	-2	12
11	Başakşehir	8	3	2	3	0	11
12	Rizespor	8	3	1	4	-3	10
13	Göztepe	8	2	3	3	1	9
14	Gaziantep FK	9	2	2	5	-6	8
15	Gençlerbirliği S.K.	8	2	2	4	-9	8
16	Konyaspor	8	1	2	5	-5	5
17	Samsunspor	9	1	1	7	-13	4
18	Eyüpspor	9	1	0	8	-21	3

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 70.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.

A 71% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.