· Analysis updated 13:42 UTC
Robres vs Huesca II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.03 expected goals for Robres and 1.37 for Huesca II, a combined total of 2.41. That distribution gives Huesca II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 43% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
71.8% probability
Expected goals
1.03 – 1.37
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Robres home form
2 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Huesca II away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Huesca II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 28% / 27% / 45% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.03 goals for Robres and 1.37 for Huesca II, a combined 2.41 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
55%
Double chance 12
73%
Double chance X2
72%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.8%
- 0–112.4%
- 1–09.3%
- 0–09.0%
- 1–28.8%
Recent form
Robres
- 2026-10-10T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Épila · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-03T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Binéfar · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-27T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Real Zaragoza II · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Huesca II · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-13T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Atlético Monzón · 3-4 (L)
Huesca II
- 2026-09-06T16:30:00.000Z · A vs La Almunia · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-30T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Subiza · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-08-26T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Sabiñánigo · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-22T10:00:00.000Z · A vs UD Logroñés · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-08-15T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Ebro · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Zaragoza II | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 16 |
| 2 | Ejea | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | Brea | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 14 |
| 4 | Fraga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | Cuarte | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | Épila | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 | Atlético Monzón | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 10 |
| 8 | Caspe | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 |
| 9 | Almudévar | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | Binéfar | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | Huesca II | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 | La Almunia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 | Illueca | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 14 | CDJ Tamarite | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 15 | CD Sietamo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | Andorra CF | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 5 |
| 17 | Belchite 97 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -11 | 2 |
| 18 | Robres | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 71.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 43%.
A 72% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.