Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 · Group 17 - 314:30
RobresDLLLD

1 – 1

Saturday, 19 September 2026

Huesca IIWDLDD

· Analysis updated 15:24 UTC

Robres vs Huesca II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.00 expected goals for Robres and 1.49 for Huesca II, a combined total of 2.49. That distribution gives Huesca II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 45% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Huesca II win

48.5% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.00 – 1.49

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Robres home form

    2 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Huesca II away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Huesca II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 25% / 26% / 49% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.00 goals for Robres and 1.49 for Huesca II, a combined 2.49 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Robres win25%
Draw26%
Huesca II win49%

Double chance 1X

52%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

75%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals45%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Both teams to score49%

Correct score

  • 0–112.4%
  • 1–112.4%
  • 0–29.2%
  • 1–29.2%
  • 0–08.3%

Recent form

Robres

  • 2026-10-18T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Cuarte · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-10-10T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Épila · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-03T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Binéfar · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-27T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Real Zaragoza II · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Huesca II · 1-1 (D)

Huesca II

  • 2026-09-06T16:30:00.000Z · A vs La Almunia · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-08-30T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Subiza · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-26T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Sabiñánigo · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-22T10:00:00.000Z · A vs UD Logroñés · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-08-15T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Ebro · 1-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Zaragoza II7511916
2Ejea7502515
3Brea7421714
4Caspe7331412
5Fraga7331412
6Cuarte7322511
7Épila7322311
8Binéfar7313110
9Huesca II7241110
10La Almunia7313010
11Atlético Monzón7313-410
12CDJ Tamarite7304-19
13Almudévar722318
14Andorra CF7223-48
15Illueca7214-57
16CD Sietamo7133-36
17Robres7025-102
18Belchite 977025-132

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Huesca II win, at 48.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 45%.

A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.