Netherlands · Tweede Divisie · Matchweek 212:00
ROHDA RaalteLLLLD

0 – 3

Sunday, 23 August 2026

De TreffersDWWLW

Sportpark Tijenraan · Analysis updated 20:47 UTC

ROHDA Raalte vs De Treffers Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.00 expected goals for ROHDA Raalte and 4.50 for De Treffers, a combined total of 5.50. That distribution gives De Treffers the largest share of the 1X2 market at 91%, with the draw at 6%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 87% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 0–4 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 91% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

De Treffers win

90.6% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.00 – 4.50

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • ROHDA Raalte home form

    0 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • De Treffers away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates De Treffers to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 91%, against 4% / 6% / 91% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.00 goals for ROHDA Raalte and 4.50 for De Treffers, a combined 5.50 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

ROHDA Raalte win4%
Draw6%
De Treffers win91%

Double chance 1X

9%

Double chance 12

94%

Double chance X2

97%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals93%
Over 2.5 goals87%
Over 3.5 goals76%
Both teams to score60%

Correct score

  • 0–47.0%
  • 1–47.0%
  • 0–56.3%
  • 1–56.3%
  • 0–36.2%

Recent form

ROHDA Raalte

  • 2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z · H vs HHC · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-17T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Rijnsburgse Boys · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs RKAV Volendam · 2-8 (L)
  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs GVVV Veenendaal · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Kloetinge · 3-3 (D)

De Treffers

  • 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Almere City II · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-10-10T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Barendrecht · 4-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Hoek · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Spakenburg · 5-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Katwijk · 2-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Tweede Divisie table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Quick Boys119112428
2De Treffers116411622
3Ijsselmeervogels11713622
4Kozakken Boys116321221
5HHC11632521
6Barendrecht11623320
7GVVV Veenendaal11605418
8RKAV Volendam11533118
9Spakenburg11425-414
10Katwijk11425-714
11Sparta Rotterdam II11344413
12Almere City II11416113
13AFC Amsterdam11416-413
14Rijnsburgse Boys11416-1013
15Hoek11245-610
16Koninklijke HFC11236-89
17Kloetinge11146-137
18ROHDA Raalte110110-241

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is De Treffers win, at 90.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–4.

It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 87%.

A 91% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.