Netherlands · KNVB Beker · 1st Preliminary Round18:00

4 – 1

Tuesday, 2 September 2025

· Analysis updated 07:40 UTC

ROHDA Raalte vs Hollandia Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.67 expected goals for ROHDA Raalte and 1.72 for Hollandia, a combined total of 3.39. That distribution gives Hollandia the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

62.3% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.67 – 1.72

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • ROHDA Raalte home form

    0 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Hollandia away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Hollandia to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 38% / 23% / 40% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.67 goals for ROHDA Raalte and 1.72 for Hollandia, a combined 3.39 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

ROHDA Raalte win38%
Draw23%
Hollandia win40%

Double chance 1X

60%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

62%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals66%
Over 3.5 goals44%
Both teams to score67%

Correct score

  • 1–19.7%
  • 1–28.3%
  • 2–18.1%
  • 2–27.0%
  • 0–15.8%

Recent form

ROHDA Raalte

  • 2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z · H vs HHC · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-17T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Rijnsburgse Boys · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs RKAV Volendam · 2-8 (L)
  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs GVVV Veenendaal · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Kloetinge · 3-3 (D)

Hollandia

  • 2026-08-22T14:00:00.000Z · H vs ACV · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-15T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Harkemase Boys · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-06-07T12:00:00.000Z · H vs HBC · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-06-03T18:00:00.000Z · A vs HBC · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-05-30T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Huizen · 3-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 62.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.

A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.