Czech-Republic · 4. liga - Divizie A · Group A - 315:00

15:00 UTC

Saturday, 22 August 2026

· Analysis updated 02:48 UTC

Rokycany vs Křimice Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.50 expected goals for Rokycany and 1.00 for Křimice, a combined total of 2.50. That distribution gives Rokycany the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 46% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws roughly 51% of the time.

Model pick

Rokycany to Win

48.8% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.50 – 1.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Rokycany win49%
Draw26%
Křimice win25%

Double chance 1X

75%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

51%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Both teams to score49%

Correct score

  • 1–012.3%
  • 1–112.3%
  • 2–09.2%
  • 2–19.2%
  • 0–08.2%

Why the model likes this

  • Rokycany home form

    6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Rokycany to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 49% / 26% / 25% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.50 goals for Rokycany and 1.00 for Křimice, a combined 2.50 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 46% and both teams to score at 49%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

Rokycany

  • 2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Doubravka · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Loko Vltavín · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-07T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Milevsko · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-07-31T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Hořovicko · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-06-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Spartak Soběslav · 2-3 (L)

Křimice

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.