Italy · Campionato Primavera - 1 · Matchweek 3311:00
Roma U20LDWDD

2 – 2

Saturday, 11 April 2026

Stadio Tre Fontane · Analysis updated 13:47 UTC

Roma U20 vs Napoli U20 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Roma U20 vs Napoli U20 in the Campionato Primavera - 1: no fixture-specific data has reached us for this match yet, so the figures below are a competition-average baseline with standard home advantage — not a rated model prediction on these two teams. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and will be replaced automatically once team and market data arrives.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

69.8% probability

Baseline estimate10/100

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

No fixture-specific data was available. These numbers are a competition-average prior with standard home advantage — not a model opinion on these two teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Napoli U20 away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Roma U20 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Roma U20 and 1.18 for Napoli U20, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

  • Why this is a baseline estimate

    No fixture-specific data was available for Roma U20 or Napoli U20 yet, so these numbers are a Campionato Primavera - 1 scoring average with standard home advantage rather than a rated model pick. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and are replaced automatically as team data arrives.

Match result (1X2)

Roma U20 win44%
Draw26%
Napoli U20 win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Correct score

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–07.7%

Recent form

Roma U20

    Napoli U20

    • 2026-05-23T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Cagliari U20 · 0-3 (L)
    • 2026-05-17T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Cagliari U20 · 1-1 (D)
    • 2026-05-10T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Lecce U20 · 1-1 (D)
    • 2026-05-02T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Hellas Verona U20 · 2-5 (L)
    • 2026-04-25T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Internazionale U20 · 1-1 (D)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Campionato Primavera - 1 table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Internazionale U2074301015
    2Parma U207430915
    3Empoli U207430415
    4Roma U207331312
    5Bologna U207403012
    6Genoa U207322311
    7Lazio U207322211
    8Lecce U207241210
    9Milan U207313010
    10Como U20723219
    11Cesena U20723209
    12Torino U207223-18
    13Sassuolo U207223-28
    14Cagliari U207223-68
    15Fiorentina U20714207
    16Hellas Verona U207214-27
    17Juventus U207133-46
    18Atalanta U207205-56
    19Monza U207124-35
    20Albinoleffe U207115-114

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 69.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

    A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.