Koteng Arena · Analysis updated 13:25 UTC
Rosenborg W vs Røa W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.65 expected goals for Rosenborg W and 0.93 for Røa W, a combined total of 2.58. That distribution gives Rosenborg W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Rosenborg W win
54.4% probability
Expected goals
1.65 – 0.93
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Rosenborg W home form
11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Røa W away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
79%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
46%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–012.6%
- 1–111.6%
- 2–010.4%
- 2–19.6%
- 0–07.6%
Recent form
Rosenborg W
- 2026-10-24T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Hønefoss W · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Brann W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-04T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Vålerenga W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-30T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovan Liberec W · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Fortuna Ålesund W · 1-1 (D)
Røa W
- 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Stabæk W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-16T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Fortuna Ålesund W · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-04T11:00:00.000Z · H vs LSK Kvinner W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-25T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Bodø / Glimt W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Hønefoss W · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-05-02T12:00:00.000Z · Rosenborg W 1-0 Røa W (Toppserien)
- 2025-10-02T16:00:00.000Z · Rosenborg W 2-1 Røa W (Toppserien)
- 2025-06-14T12:00:00.000Z · Rosenborg W 4-1 Røa W (Toppserien)
- 2025-04-26T14:00:00.000Z · Rosenborg W 1-1 Røa W (Toppserien)
- 2024-11-16T12:00:00.000Z · Rosenborg W 1-0 Røa W (Toppserien)
- 2024-07-06T13:00:00.000Z · Rosenborg W 4-1 Røa W (Toppserien)
- 2024-04-27T12:00:00.000Z · Rosenborg W 1-0 Røa W (Toppserien)
- 2023-09-16T14:45:00.000Z · Rosenborg W 3-0 Røa W (Toppserien)
- 2023-07-01T13:00:00.000Z · Rosenborg W 3-0 Røa W (Toppserien)
- 2023-04-15T13:00:00.000Z · Rosenborg W 1-0 Røa W (Toppserien)
Toppserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brann W | 20 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 49 | 51 |
| 2 | Fortuna Ålesund W | 20 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 50 |
| 3 | Rosenborg W | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 15 | 42 |
| 4 | Vålerenga W | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | Lyn W | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 32 |
| 6 | Stabæk W | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 27 |
| 7 | Haugesund W | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | -16 | 24 |
| 8 | Hønefoss W | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | -15 | 19 |
| 9 | Molde W | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -16 | 18 |
| 10 | Røa W | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -19 | 17 |
| 11 | LSK Kvinner W | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | -17 | 15 |
| 12 | Bodø / Glimt W | 20 | 1 | 3 | 16 | -61 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Rosenborg W win, at 54.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.
A 54% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.