Koteng Arena · Analysis updated 21:43 UTC
Rosenborg W vs SeaSters Odesa W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.79 expected goals for Rosenborg W and 1.19 for SeaSters Odesa W, a combined total of 2.98. That distribution gives Rosenborg W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 57% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Rosenborg W win
51.4% probability
Expected goals
1.79 – 1.19
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Rosenborg W home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Rosenborg W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 51% / 23% / 25% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.79 goals for Rosenborg W and 1.19 for SeaSters Odesa W, a combined 2.98 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 57% and both teams to score at 58%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
75%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
49%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.8%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–09.0%
- 2–08.1%
- 1–26.4%
Recent form
Rosenborg W
- 2026-10-04T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Vålerenga W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-30T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovan Liberec W · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Fortuna Ålesund W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-23T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Slovan Liberec W · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-17T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Stabæk W · 4-2 (W)
SeaSters Odesa W
- 2026-08-26T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Rosenborg W · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-08T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Young Boys W · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-05T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Sporting CP W · 0-5 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-26T15:00:00.000Z · Rosenborg W 0-1 SeaSters Odesa W (UEFA Europa Cup - Women)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Rosenborg W win, at 51.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.
A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.