· Analysis updated 15:00 UTC
Roskilde vs FA 2000 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.57 expected goals for Roskilde and 0.84 for FA 2000, a combined total of 3.41. That distribution gives Roskilde the largest share of the 1X2 market at 75%, with the draw at 15%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 75% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Roskilde win
74.6% probability
Expected goals
2.57 – 0.84
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Roskilde home form
9 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
FA 2000 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 7 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
90%
Double chance 12
85%
Double chance X2
26%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–010.9%
- 3–09.3%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–08.5%
- 3–17.9%
Recent form
Roskilde
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Skive · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Thisted FC · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · A vs HIK · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · H vs FA 2000 · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Brabrand · 1-1 (D)
FA 2000
- 2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Roskilde · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Nykobing FC · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Skive · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-29T11:30:00.000Z · A vs VSK Århus · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-26T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Lyngby · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · Roskilde 5-1 FA 2000 (2. Division)
- 2024-04-06T12:00:00.000Z · Roskilde 1-0 FA 2000 (2. Division)
- 2023-08-05T12:00:00.000Z · Roskilde 1-0 FA 2000 (2. Division)
- 2023-07-22T11:00:00.000Z · Roskilde 2-0 FA 2000 (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2023-02-18T12:45:00.000Z · Roskilde 2-2 FA 2000 (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2021-03-13T12:00:00.000Z · Roskilde 0-1 FA 2000 (2nd Division - Group 2)
- 2020-10-31T12:45:00.000Z · Roskilde 1-2 FA 2000 (2nd Division - Group 2)
2. Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nykobing FC | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 22 |
| 2 | Roskilde | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 18 |
| 3 | VSK Århus | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 18 |
| 4 | Middelfart | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | B 93 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | Naestved | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 15 |
| 7 | Skive | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14 |
| 8 | Fremad Amager | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | -2 | 14 |
| 9 | Brabrand | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 9 |
| 10 | HIK | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 8 |
| 11 | FA 2000 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -12 | 5 |
| 12 | Thisted FC | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -13 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Roskilde win, at 74.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.
A 75% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.