Ghana · Division One League · Matchweek 415:00
RospakLWLDL

1 – 0

Saturday, 10 October 2026

· Analysis updated 09:04 UTC

Rospak vs Pro-Sports Academy Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.50 expected goals for Rospak and 1.00 for Pro-Sports Academy, a combined total of 1.50. That distribution gives Pro-Sports Academy the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 35%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 19% for over 2.5 goals and 25% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 22%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Pro-Sports Academy win

47.0% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

0.50 – 1.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Rospak home form

    7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Pro-Sports Academy to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 18% / 35% / 47% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.50 goals for Rospak and 1.00 for Pro-Sports Academy, a combined 1.50 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 19% and both teams to score at 25%, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 22%.

Match result (1X2)

Rospak win18%
Draw35%
Pro-Sports Academy win47%

Double chance 1X

53%

Double chance 12

65%

Double chance X2

82%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals44%
Over 2.5 goals19%
Over 3.5 goals7%
Both teams to score25%

Correct score

  • 0–022.3%
  • 0–122.3%
  • 0–211.2%
  • 1–011.2%
  • 1–111.2%

Recent form

Rospak

  • 2026-10-18T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Soccer Intellectuals · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-10T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Pro-Sports Academy · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Ebiemo FC · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Nsuopun Fidelity · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-20T15:00:00.000Z · A vs King Faisal · 0-1 (L)

Pro-Sports Academy

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Division One League table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Ebusua Dwarfs5401312
    1Koforidua54101113
    1Sankara Nationals5410413
    1VC Warriors5311510
    2Nations5320411
    2Inter Allies5320411
    2Real Tamale5311410
    2Mighty Royals5311510
    3Pro-Sports Academy5311610
    3Hakla SC523039
    3Steadfast522138
    3Techiman Liberty521217
    4Ebony FC5311210
    4Accra Lions522138
    4Berekum City5212-17
    4Yapei5212-17
    5Soccer Intellectuals523029
    5Okwawu522118
    5Wa Power512205
    5Bectero Sasana5212-17
    6Nsuopun Fidelity522118
    6WAFA5221-38
    6Kalibi SC5122-55
    6Dormaa5212-17
    7Elmina Sharks522108
    7Golden Kicks521227
    7Tamale City5113-24
    7Eleven Wonders5113-44
    8Fettehman United514027
    87th Wave514017
    8Northern City5023-32
    8KAC Soccer5113-44
    9Skyy521217
    9Nania521207
    10Ebiemo FC5203-16
    10Home Stars513116
    11PAC Academy5122-15
    11True Democracy5131-26
    12Rospak5113-24
    12Attram de Visser5122-25
    13King Faisal5113-44
    13Great Olympics5113-24
    14Sefwi All Stars5032-23
    14Nukunu5113-54
    15Future Stars5104-73
    15Kotoku Royals5023-52
    16New Edubiase5014-41
    16Golden Warriors5005-70

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Pro-Sports Academy win, at 47.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–0.

    It puts both teams scoring at 25% and over 2.5 goals at 19%.

    A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.