Germany · U19 Bundesliga · Preliminary09:00

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Saturday, 24 October 2026

· Analysis updated 06:19 UTC

Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19 vs Eintracht Frankf U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.39 expected goals for Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19 and 2.71 for Eintracht Frankf U19, a combined total of 4.10. That distribution gives Eintracht Frankf U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 65%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 78% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 65% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Eintracht Frankf U19 win

65.4% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.39 – 2.71

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19 home form

    4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Eintracht Frankf U19 away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Eintracht Frankf U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 65%, against 18% / 17% / 65% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.39 goals for Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19 and 2.71 for Eintracht Frankf U19, a combined 4.10 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19 win18%
Draw17%
Eintracht Frankf U19 win65%

Double chance 1X

35%

Double chance 12

83%

Double chance X2

82%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals91%
Over 2.5 goals78%
Over 3.5 goals59%
Both teams to score70%

Correct score

  • 1–28.4%
  • 1–37.6%
  • 1–16.2%
  • 0–26.1%
  • 2–25.9%

Recent form

Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19

  • 2026-10-24T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Eintracht Frankf U19 · 1-6 (L)
  • 2026-10-17T10:00:00.000Z · A vs RB Leipzig U19 · 1-5 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Erzgebirge Aue U19 · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Greuther Fürth U19 · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Dynamo Dresden U19 · 2-6 (L)

Eintracht Frankf U19

  • 2026-10-24T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19 · 6-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-17T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Nürnberg U19 · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-13T09:00:00.000Z · H vs RB Leipzig U19 · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Erzgebirge Aue U19 · 7-2 (W)
  • 2026-08-23T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Greuther Fürth U19 · 6-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Eintracht Frankf U19 win, at 65.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 78%.

A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.