Stadion an der Hafenstrasse · Analysis updated 00:47 UTC
Rot-Weiß Essen vs Würzburger Kickers Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.70 expected goals for Rot-Weiß Essen and 2.21 for Würzburger Kickers, a combined total of 3.91. That distribution gives Würzburger Kickers the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws roughly 51% of the time.
Model pick
Würzburger Kickers to Win
49.5% probability
Expected goals
1.70 – 2.21
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
51%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
70%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–28.3%
- 1–17.5%
- 2–27.1%
- 2–16.4%
- 1–36.1%
Why the model likes this
Rot-Weiß Essen home form
9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Würzburger Kickers to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 30% / 20% / 50% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.70 goals for Rot-Weiß Essen and 2.21 for Würzburger Kickers, a combined 3.91 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 75% and both teams to score at 73%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.
Recent form
Rot-Weiß Essen
- 2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Havelse · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-09T14:30:00.000Z · A vs FC Saarbrücken · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-08-01T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Bayer Leverkusen · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-07-25T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Borussia Mönchengladbach · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-07-17T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Ried · 0-3 (L)
Würzburger Kickers
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MSV Duisburg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Würzburger Kickers | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| 3 | Alemannia Aachen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Preußen Münster | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 6 | FC Saarbrücken | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | Hoffenheim II | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Stuttgart II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Hansa Rostock | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Waldhof Mannheim | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | SV Meppen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 14 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 15 | Fortuna Köln | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Havelse | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | FC Viktoria Köln | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 19 | Verl | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| 20 | SV Wehen | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.