Germany · U19 Bundesliga · Matchweek 510:00

1 – 2

Sunday, 8 March 2026

· Analysis updated 11:28 UTC

Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19 vs 1860 München U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.58 expected goals for Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19 and 2.14 for 1860 München U19, a combined total of 3.72. That distribution gives 1860 München U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

1860 München U19 win

50.7% probability

Low confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.58 – 2.14

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19 home form

    6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • 1860 München U19 away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates 1860 München U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 29% / 21% / 51% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.58 goals for Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19 and 2.14 for 1860 München U19, a combined 3.72 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19 win29%
Draw21%
1860 München U19 win51%

Double chance 1X

49%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

72%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%
Over 2.5 goals72%
Over 3.5 goals51%
Both teams to score70%

Correct score

  • 1–28.8%
  • 1–18.2%
  • 2–26.9%
  • 2–16.5%
  • 1–36.3%

Recent form

Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19

  • 2026-05-23T11:00:00.000Z · A vs SGV Freiberg Fussball U19 · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-17T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Eintracht Frankf U19 · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-05-10T09:00:00.000Z · A vs 1860 München U19 · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-02T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Jahn Regensburg U19 · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-04-26T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Karlsruher SC U19 · 0-2 (L)

1860 München U19

  • 2026-08-30T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Heidenheim U19 · 4-6 (L)
  • 2026-08-19T16:30:00.000Z · H vs SGV Freiberg Fussball U19 · 5-2 (W)
  • 2026-08-15T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Unterhaching U19 · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-08T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Stuttgart U19 · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-02T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Wieseck U19 · 4-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is 1860 München U19 win, at 50.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 72%.

A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.