· Analysis updated 18:08 UTC
Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19 vs Freiburg U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.28 expected goals for Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19 and 2.13 for Freiburg U19, a combined total of 4.40. That distribution gives Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 81% for over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
62.5% probability
Expected goals
2.28 – 2.13
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19 home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Freiburg U19 away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 43% / 20% / 37% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.28 goals for Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19 and 2.13 for Freiburg U19, a combined 4.40 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
63%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
57%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–27.2%
- 2–16.8%
- 1–26.3%
- 1–15.9%
- 3–25.4%
Recent form
Rot-Weiß Walldorf U19
- 2026-05-23T11:00:00.000Z · A vs SGV Freiberg Fussball U19 · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-05-17T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Eintracht Frankf U19 · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-05-10T09:00:00.000Z · A vs 1860 München U19 · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-05-02T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Jahn Regensburg U19 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-04-26T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Karlsruher SC U19 · 0-2 (L)
Freiburg U19
- 2026-10-24T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Sandhausen U19 · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-10-17T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Augsburg U19 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-11T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Hoffenheim U19 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Heidenheim U19 · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Stuttgarter K'rs U19 · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 62.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 79% and over 2.5 goals at 81%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.