· Analysis updated 12:00 UTC
Rot-Weiß Walldorf vs Bayern Alzenau Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.30 expected goals for Rot-Weiß Walldorf and 2.25 for Bayern Alzenau, a combined total of 3.55. That distribution gives Bayern Alzenau the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Bayern Alzenau win
58.8% probability
Expected goals
1.30 – 2.25
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Rot-Weiß Walldorf home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Bayern Alzenau away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 9 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
41%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
79%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.5%
- 1–18.4%
- 0–27.3%
- 1–37.1%
- 0–16.5%
Recent form
Rot-Weiß Walldorf
- 2026-10-11T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Eddersheim · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Fernwald · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-27T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Vfb Marburg · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-18T17:30:00.000Z · A vs 1960 Hanau · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-09-13T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Kassel 2 · 4-3 (W)
Bayern Alzenau
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Unter-Flockenbach · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Darmstadt 98 II · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Baunatal · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Hadamar · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-09T16:00:00.000Z · H vs 1960 Hanau · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-30T13:30:00.000Z · Rot-Weiß Walldorf 3-0 Bayern Alzenau (Oberliga - Hessen)
- 2025-04-06T13:30:00.000Z · Rot-Weiß Walldorf 1-2 Bayern Alzenau (Oberliga - Hessen)
- 2024-09-21T13:00:00.000Z · Rot-Weiß Walldorf 2-1 Bayern Alzenau (Oberliga - Hessen)
- 2024-03-28T18:30:00.000Z · Rot-Weiß Walldorf 0-0 Bayern Alzenau (Oberliga - Hessen)
- 2023-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · Rot-Weiß Walldorf 1-1 Bayern Alzenau (Oberliga - Hessen)
- 2023-03-25T14:00:00.000Z · Rot-Weiß Walldorf 1-3 Bayern Alzenau (Oberliga - Hessen)
- 2022-09-11T15:00:00.000Z · Rot-Weiß Walldorf 0-1 Bayern Alzenau (Oberliga - Hessen)
- 2022-05-07T13:00:00.000Z · Rot-Weiß Walldorf 1-4 Bayern Alzenau (Oberliga - Hessen)
- 2022-03-27T13:00:00.000Z · Rot-Weiß Walldorf 2-1 Bayern Alzenau (Oberliga - Hessen)
Oberliga - Hessen table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eintracht Stadtallendorf | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 33 |
| 2 | Unter-Flockenbach | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 32 |
| 3 | Friedberg | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 27 |
| 4 | Hadamar | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 27 |
| 5 | Eddersheim | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 25 |
| 6 | Darmstadt 98 II | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 24 |
| 7 | TuBa Pohlheim | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 23 |
| 8 | Fernwald | 15 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 21 |
| 9 | Vfb Marburg | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | -2 | 21 |
| 10 | Rot-Weiß Walldorf | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | -7 | 20 |
| 11 | Hünfelder SV | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | -1 | 19 |
| 12 | Kassel | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 18 |
| 13 | Bayern Alzenau | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -3 | 17 |
| 14 | Baunatal | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -7 | 16 |
| 15 | 1960 Hanau | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -14 | 13 |
| 16 | Hummetroth | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -8 | 12 |
| 17 | Kassel 2 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -12 | 12 |
| 18 | FC Gießen | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | -21 | 9 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Bayern Alzenau win, at 58.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.
A 59% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.