Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · Hessen - 1313:30

2 – 1

Sunday, 11 October 2026

EddersheimLLLWW

· Analysis updated 12:04 UTC

Rot-Weiß Walldorf vs Eddersheim Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.07 expected goals for Rot-Weiß Walldorf and 2.18 for Eddersheim, a combined total of 4.25. That distribution gives Eddersheim the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 80% for over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

62.0% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.07 – 2.18

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Rot-Weiß Walldorf home form

    12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Eddersheim away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Eddersheim to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 38% / 20% / 42% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.07 goals for Rot-Weiß Walldorf and 2.18 for Eddersheim, a combined 4.25 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Rot-Weiß Walldorf win38%
Draw20%
Eddersheim win42%

Double chance 1X

58%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

62%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals92%
Over 2.5 goals80%
Over 3.5 goals61%
Both teams to score78%

Correct score

  • 2–27.3%
  • 1–27.0%
  • 2–16.7%
  • 1–16.4%
  • 2–35.3%

Recent form

Rot-Weiß Walldorf

  • 2026-10-11T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Eddersheim · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Fernwald · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-27T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Vfb Marburg · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-18T17:30:00.000Z · A vs 1960 Hanau · 5-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Kassel 2 · 4-3 (W)

Eddersheim

  • 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Hummetroth · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Gießen · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Fernwald · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Vfb Marburg · 4-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-08T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Friedberg · 3-3 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Oberliga - Hessen table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Eintracht Stadtallendorf1510323033
2Unter-Flockenbach1510231532
3Friedberg158341027
4Hadamar15834827
5Eddersheim15744225
6Darmstadt 98 II157351624
7TuBa Pohlheim14725023
8Fernwald15492421
9Vfb Marburg15636-221
10Rot-Weiß Walldorf15627-720
11Hünfelder SV14617-119
12Kassel14536-1018
13Bayern Alzenau15456-317
14Baunatal15447-716
151960 Hanau15348-1413
16Hummetroth14338-812
17Kassel 215339-1212
18FC Gießen152310-219

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 62.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 78% and over 2.5 goals at 80%.

A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.