· Analysis updated 01:05 UTC
Rot-Weiss Essen U19 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.92 expected goals for Rot-Weiss Essen U19 and 1.85 for Fortuna Düsseldorf U19, a combined total of 3.77. That distribution gives Rot-Weiss Essen U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 73% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
62.2% probability
Expected goals
1.92 – 1.85
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Rot-Weiss Essen U19 home form
9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Rot-Weiss Essen U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 21% / 38% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.92 goals for Rot-Weiss Essen U19 and 1.85 for Fortuna Düsseldorf U19, a combined 3.77 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 73% and both teams to score at 72%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
62%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
59%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–18.2%
- 2–17.9%
- 1–27.6%
- 2–27.3%
- 3–15.0%
Recent form
Rot-Weiss Essen U19
- 2026-09-05T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Borussia Dortmund U19 · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-08-23T09:00:00.000Z · H vs MSV Duisburg U19 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-19T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Schalke 04 U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-15T09:00:00.000Z · H vs RW Oberhausen U19 · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-08-09T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 · 1-1 (D)
Fortuna Düsseldorf U19
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 62.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 72% and over 2.5 goals at 73%.
A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.