· Analysis updated 06:45 UTC
Rothes vs Brora Rangers Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.16 expected goals for Rothes and 3.37 for Brora Rangers, a combined total of 4.53. That distribution gives Brora Rangers the largest share of the 1X2 market at 79%, with the draw at 12%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 82% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 1–3 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 79% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Brora Rangers win
79.0% probability
Expected goals
1.16 – 3.37
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Rothes home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Brora Rangers away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Brora Rangers to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 79%, against 9% / 12% / 79% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.16 goals for Rothes and 3.37 for Brora Rangers, a combined 4.53 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
21%
Double chance 12
88%
Double chance X2
91%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–38.0%
- 1–27.1%
- 0–36.9%
- 1–46.7%
- 0–26.1%
Recent form
Rothes
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Brora Rangers · 0-8 (L)
- 2026-09-16T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Strathspey Thistle · 1-7 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Banks O' Dee · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Buckie Thistle · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-08-22T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Wick Academy · 3-2 (W)
Brora Rangers
- 2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Fraserburgh · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Nairn County · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-07T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Forres Mechanics · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Rothes · 9-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Keith · 5-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Brora Rangers win, at 79.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–3.
It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 82%.
A 79% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.