Stade Robert Diochon · Analysis updated 10:08 UTC
Rouen vs Quevilly Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.00 expected goals for Rouen and 0.50 for Quevilly, a combined total of 1.50. That distribution gives Rouen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 35%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 19% for over 2.5 goals and 25% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 22%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Rouen win
47.0% probability
Expected goals
1.00 – 0.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
82%
Double chance 12
65%
Double chance X2
53%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–022.3%
- 1–022.3%
- 0–111.2%
- 1–111.2%
- 2–011.2%
Why the model likes this
Quevilly away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Rouen to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 47% / 35% / 18% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.00 goals for Rouen and 0.50 for Quevilly, a combined 1.50 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 19% and both teams to score at 25%, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 22%.
Recent form
Rouen
Quevilly
- 2026-08-14T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Concarneau · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-07T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Gobelins · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Oissel · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-07-25T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Avranches · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-07-22T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Clermont Foot · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.