· Analysis updated 15:34 UTC
Royal Antwerp II vs De Kempen Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.53 expected goals for Royal Antwerp II and 2.03 for De Kempen, a combined total of 3.55. That distribution gives De Kempen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
De Kempen win
49.4% probability
Expected goals
1.53 – 2.03
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Royal Antwerp II home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates De Kempen to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 29% / 22% / 49% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.53 goals for Royal Antwerp II and 2.03 for De Kempen, a combined 3.55 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 69% and both teams to score at 68%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
51%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
71%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.0%
- 1–18.9%
- 2–26.8%
- 2–16.8%
- 1–36.1%
Recent form
Royal Antwerp II
- 2026-09-19T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Racing Mechelen · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Tempo Overijse · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-05T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Hades · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-29T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Nijlen · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-05T17:00:00.000Z · H vs KRC Genk II · 0-0 (D)
De Kempen
- 2026-10-10T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Hades · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-10-03T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Nijlen · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-30T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Diegem Sport · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Rupel Boom · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Wilrijk · 4-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Second Amateur Division - VFV B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tempo Overijse | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 18 |
| 2 | Hades | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | De Kempen | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 12 |
| 4 | Wilrijk | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Royal Antwerp II | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 |
| 6 | Diegem Sport | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | Racing Mechelen | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 | Eendracht Termien | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
| 9 | Wellen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Rotselaar | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Rupel Boom | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 7 |
| 12 | Nijlen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 7 |
| 13 | Bocholt | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -7 | 5 |
| 14 | Tongeren | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Sint-Truiden II | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Cappellen | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is De Kempen win, at 49.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.
A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.