· Analysis updated 18:29 UTC
Royal Antwerp II vs De Kempen Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.65 expected goals for Royal Antwerp II and 1.50 for De Kempen, a combined total of 3.15. That distribution gives Royal Antwerp II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Home/Draw
65.0% probability
Expected goals
1.65 – 1.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Royal Antwerp II home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Royal Antwerp II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 24% / 35% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.65 goals for Royal Antwerp II and 1.50 for De Kempen, a combined 3.15 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 61% and both teams to score at 63%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
65%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
59%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.6%
- 2–18.7%
- 1–28.0%
- 1–07.1%
- 2–26.6%
Recent form
Royal Antwerp II
- 2026-09-19T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Racing Mechelen · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Tempo Overijse · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-05T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Hades · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-29T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Nijlen · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-05T17:00:00.000Z · H vs KRC Genk II · 0-0 (D)
De Kempen
- 2026-10-10T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Hades · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-10-03T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Nijlen · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-30T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Diegem Sport · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Rupel Boom · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Wilrijk · 4-0 (W)
Head-to-head
No previous meetings were found between these teams. The prediction is still calculated from current form, home and away performance, goals data, team strength and competition statistics.
Second Amateur Division - VFV B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tempo Overijse | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 24 |
| 2 | De Kempen | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Racing Mechelen | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15 |
| 4 | Royal Antwerp II | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | Hades | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14 |
| 6 | Eendracht Termien | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 |
| 7 | Bocholt | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | Wilrijk | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Rupel Boom | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 10 | Nijlen | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 11 |
| 11 | Sint-Truiden II | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | Rotselaar | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 | Wellen | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 | Diegem Sport | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 | Cappellen | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -13 | 6 |
| 16 | Tongeren | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -6 | 5 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 65.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.