Belgium · Second Amateur Division - VFV B · VFV B - 116:30

2 – 0

Saturday, 29 August 2026

NijlenWDWLL

· Analysis updated 13:58 UTC

Royal Antwerp II vs Nijlen Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.25 expected goals for Royal Antwerp II and 0.94 for Nijlen, a combined total of 3.20. That distribution gives Royal Antwerp II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 67%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 67% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Royal Antwerp II win

66.9% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.25 – 0.94

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Royal Antwerp II home form

    10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Nijlen away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Royal Antwerp II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 67%, against 67% / 19% / 14% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.25 goals for Royal Antwerp II and 0.94 for Nijlen, a combined 3.20 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Royal Antwerp II win67%
Draw19%
Nijlen win14%

Double chance 1X

86%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

33%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Over 3.5 goals40%
Both teams to score55%

Correct score

  • 2–010.4%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 1–09.2%
  • 1–18.7%
  • 3–07.8%

Recent form

Royal Antwerp II

  • 2026-09-19T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Racing Mechelen · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Tempo Overijse · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Hades · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-29T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Nijlen · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-05T17:00:00.000Z · H vs KRC Genk II · 0-0 (D)

Nijlen

  • 2026-10-18T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Union St. Gilloise · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-11T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Racing Mechelen · 1-5 (L)
  • 2026-10-03T18:00:00.000Z · H vs De Kempen · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-30T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Sint-Truiden II · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Rupel Boom · 3-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Second Amateur Division - VFV B table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tempo Overijse87011521
2De Kempen8431915
3Racing Mechelen8431715
4Hades8413513
5Royal Antwerp II8404312
6Wilrijk8404112
7Eendracht Termien8323211
8Bocholt8323011
9Rupel Boom8323-311
10Sint-Truiden II8314-110
11Wellen8314-210
12Rotselaar8314-310
13Diegem Sport7232-19
14Nijlen7214-117
15Tongeren8053-65
16Cappellen8035-153

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Royal Antwerp II win, at 66.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.

A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.