Royal Vision vs Olympic Star Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.85 expected goals for Royal Vision and 0.70 for Olympic Star, a combined total of 2.55. That distribution gives Royal Vision the largest share of the 1X2 market at 65%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 47% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 65% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Royal Vision win

64.6% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.85 – 0.70

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Royal Vision home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Royal Vision to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 65%, against 65% / 22% / 14% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.85 goals for Royal Vision and 0.70 for Olympic Star, a combined 2.55 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 47% and both teams to score at 43%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%.

Match result (1X2)

Royal Vision win65%

Draw22%

Olympic Star win14%

Double chance 1X

86%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

35%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals72%

Over 2.5 goals47%

Over 3.5 goals25%

Both teams to score43%

Correct score

1–014.4%
2–013.3%
1–110.1%
2–19.4%
3–08.2%

Recent form

Royal Vision

2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Ngozi City · 5-0 (W)
2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Vital'O · 5-0 (W)
2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Young Star · 5-1 (W)
2026-08-29T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Flambeau du Centre · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-23T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Olympic Star · 0-0 (D)

Olympic Star

2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Panthere Noir · 2-0 (W)
2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Never Give Up Academy · 1-0 (W)
2026-10-03T13:45:00.000Z · A vs Muzinga · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Bumamuru · 3-1 (W)
2026-08-30T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Rukinzo · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Ligue A table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Royal Vision	9	6	3	0	19	21
2	Muzinga	9	5	3	1	6	18
3	Rukinzo	6	4	2	0	11	14
4	Le Messager Ngozi	6	4	1	1	2	13
5	Olympic Star	7	3	3	1	3	12
6	Aigle Noir	8	3	3	2	2	12
7	Ngozi City	8	4	0	4	-2	12
8	Bumamuru	8	3	1	4	1	10
9	Musongati	8	3	1	4	-1	10
10	Vital'O	7	2	3	2	-5	9
11	Inter Star	6	1	3	2	-1	6
12	Flambeau du Centre	7	1	3	3	-2	6
13	Never Give Up Academy	7	1	2	4	-5	5
14	Kayanza United	8	0	5	3	-6	5
15	Young Star	8	1	2	5	-15	5
16	Panthere Noir	6	0	1	5	-7	1

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Royal Vision win, at 64.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 43% and over 2.5 goals at 47%.

A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.