Rozova dolina vs Levski Krumovgrad Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.95 expected goals for Rozova dolina and 2.10 for Levski Krumovgrad, a combined total of 3.05. That distribution gives Levski Krumovgrad the largest share of the 1X2 market at 64%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 64% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Levski Krumovgrad win

63.8% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

0.95 – 2.10

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Rozova dolina home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Levski Krumovgrad away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Levski Krumovgrad to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 64%, against 16% / 20% / 64% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.95 goals for Rozova dolina and 2.10 for Levski Krumovgrad, a combined 3.05 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Rozova dolina win16%

Draw20%

Levski Krumovgrad win64%

Double chance 1X

36%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

84%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals81%

Over 2.5 goals59%

Over 3.5 goals36%

Both teams to score54%

Correct score

0–210.4%
0–19.9%
1–29.9%
1–19.4%
0–37.3%

Recent form

Rozova dolina

2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Sekirovo Rakovski · 4-3 (W)
2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Botev Plovdiv II · 0-0 (D)
2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Neftochimic Burgas · 1-3 (L)
2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Atletik Kuklen · 3-3 (D)
2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Dimitrovgrad · 2-2 (D)

Levski Krumovgrad

2026-10-21T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv II · 6-0 (W)
2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Zagorets · 2-1 (W)
2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Sozopol · 2-1 (W)
2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Spartak Pleven · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Gigant Saedinenie · 2-0 (W)

Head-to-head

2022-03-19T13:00:00.000Z · Rozova dolina 1-1 Levski Krumovgrad (Third League - Southeast)
2021-09-29T14:00:00.000Z · Rozova dolina 0-7 Levski Krumovgrad (Third League - Southeast)

Third League - Southeast table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Levski Krumovgrad	12	12	0	0	28	36
2	Maritsa Milevo	12	9	1	2	15	28
3	Spartak Plovdiv	11	9	0	2	13	27
4	Neftochimic Burgas	11	7	1	3	8	22
5	Sayana Haskovo	12	6	4	2	8	22
6	Yambol 1915	12	6	2	4	15	20
7	Rodopa Smolyan	12	6	2	4	0	20
8	Gigant Saedinenie	12	6	1	5	3	19
9	Sozopol	12	5	1	6	1	16
10	Rozova dolina	12	3	7	2	0	16
11	Dimitrovgrad	12	4	2	6	1	14
12	Zagorets	12	4	2	6	-9	14
13	Botev Plovdiv II	12	2	5	5	-5	11
14	Maritsa Plovdiv	11	2	2	7	-8	8
15	Lokomotiv Plovdiv II	12	2	2	8	-21	8
16	Atletik Kuklen	11	2	1	8	-16	7
17	Sekirovo Rakovski	12	1	3	8	-14	6
18	Levski Karlovo	12	2	0	10	-19	6

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Levski Krumovgrad win, at 63.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.

A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.