Lotto Park · Referee T. Stevens · Analysis updated 14:20 UTC
RSC Anderlecht II vs SK Beveren Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.23 expected goals for RSC Anderlecht II and 2.10 for SK Beveren, a combined total of 3.32. That distribution gives SK Beveren the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 65% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
SK Beveren win
57.4% probability
Expected goals
1.23 – 2.10
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
RSC Anderlecht II home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
SK Beveren away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
43%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
78%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.7%
- 1–19.3%
- 0–27.9%
- 0–17.6%
- 1–36.8%
Recent form
RSC Anderlecht II
- 2026-10-09T18:00:00.000Z · H vs AS Eupen · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-18T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Francs Borains · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Lokeren-Temse · 2-6 (L)
- 2026-09-05T11:30:00.000Z · A vs KAA Gent II · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Beerschot VA · 0-1 (L)
SK Beveren
- 2026-10-16T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Habay-la-Neuve · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-09T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Lommel United · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-20T17:15:00.000Z · A vs Kortrijk · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs St. Truiden · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-06T17:15:00.000Z · H vs OH Leuven · 3-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-04-04T14:00:00.000Z · RSC Anderlecht II 0-5 SK Beveren (Challenger Pro League)
- 2025-12-12T19:00:00.000Z · RSC Anderlecht II 1-2 SK Beveren (Challenger Pro League)
- 2025-04-18T18:00:00.000Z · RSC Anderlecht II 0-4 SK Beveren (Challenger Pro League)
- 2024-10-26T18:00:00.000Z · RSC Anderlecht II 1-1 SK Beveren (Challenger Pro League)
- 2024-04-05T18:00:00.000Z · RSC Anderlecht II 1-2 SK Beveren (Challenger Pro League)
- 2023-12-02T19:00:00.000Z · RSC Anderlecht II 0-2 SK Beveren (Challenger Pro League)
- 2023-04-08T18:00:00.000Z · RSC Anderlecht II 1-4 SK Beveren (Challenger Pro League)
- 2023-03-31T18:00:00.000Z · RSC Anderlecht II 0-4 SK Beveren (Challenger Pro League)
- 2022-12-09T19:00:00.000Z · RSC Anderlecht II 1-4 SK Beveren (Challenger Pro League)
- 2022-08-27T14:00:00.000Z · RSC Anderlecht II 2-2 SK Beveren (Challenger Pro League)
Challenger Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Beerschot VA | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 18 |
| 2 | Dender | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 18 |
| 3 | AS Eupen | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Francs Borains | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Sporting Hasselt | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 12 |
| 6 | Excelsior Virton | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 |
| 7 | Lokeren-Temse | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | K. Lierse S.K. | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Club Brugge II | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | KAA Gent II | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 | KRC Genk II | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 | Patro Eisden | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -4 | 6 |
| 13 | Liège | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 5 |
| 14 | Seraing United | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 2 |
| 15 | RSC Anderlecht II | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is SK Beveren win, at 57.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.
A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.