· Analysis updated 09:34 UTC
RSV Eintracht vs Greifswalder FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.39 expected goals for RSV Eintracht and 2.32 for Greifswalder FC, a combined total of 3.71. That distribution gives Greifswalder FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Greifswalder FC win
58.2% probability
Expected goals
1.39 – 2.32
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
RSV Eintracht home form
1 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Greifswalder FC away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Greifswalder FC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 22% / 20% / 58% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.39 goals for RSV Eintracht and 2.32 for Greifswalder FC, a combined 3.71 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
42%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
78%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.1%
- 1–17.9%
- 1–37.1%
- 0–26.6%
- 2–26.4%
Recent form
RSV Eintracht
- 2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Hallescher FC · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Chemnitzer FC · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Altglienicke · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-16T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Greifswalder FC · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt · 0-5 (L)
Greifswalder FC
- 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Luckenwalde · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-16T15:00:00.000Z · A vs RSV Eintracht · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Lokomotive Leipzig · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-08-30T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Tasmania Berlin · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-26T17:00:00.000Z · H vs SV Babelsberg 03 · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Regionalliga - Nordost table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 31 |
| 2 | Chemnitzer FC | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 30 |
| 3 | Hallescher FC | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 28 |
| 4 | Altglienicke | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 27 |
| 5 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 26 |
| 6 | BFC Dynamo | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 26 |
| 7 | Erzgebirge Aue | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 24 |
| 8 | Greifswalder FC | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 22 |
| 9 | Magdeburg II | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 | FSV Zwickau | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 19 |
| 11 | Lokomotive Leipzig | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 12 | SV Babelsberg 03 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 16 |
| 13 | BFC Preussen | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -6 | 11 |
| 14 | Tasmania Berlin | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -18 | 11 |
| 15 | BSG Chemie Leipzig | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -7 | 10 |
| 16 | Hertha BSC II | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -13 | 10 |
| 17 | RSV Eintracht | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -17 | 9 |
| 18 | Luckenwalde | 14 | 2 | 0 | 12 | -20 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Greifswalder FC win, at 58.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 72%.
A 58% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.