· Analysis updated 00:11 UTC
RSV Eintracht vs Lichtenberg Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.48 expected goals for RSV Eintracht and 0.68 for Lichtenberg, a combined total of 4.15. That distribution gives RSV Eintracht the largest share of the 1X2 market at 88%, with the draw at 8%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 77% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 88% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
RSV Eintracht win
88.0% probability
Expected goals
3.48 – 0.68
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
RSV Eintracht home form
0 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Lichtenberg away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates RSV Eintracht to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 88%, against 88% / 8% / 4% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.48 goals for RSV Eintracht and 0.68 for Lichtenberg, a combined 4.15 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
96%
Double chance 12
92%
Double chance X2
12%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–011.0%
- 4–09.6%
- 2–09.5%
- 3–17.4%
- 5–06.7%
Recent form
RSV Eintracht
- 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Tasmania Berlin · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-16T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Hertha BSC II · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Hallescher FC · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Chemnitzer FC · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Altglienicke · 1-3 (L)
Lichtenberg
- 2026-10-24T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Mecklenburg Schwerin · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Hansa Rostock II · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Anker Wismar · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-25T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Tennis Borussia · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Makkabi · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-07-12T11:00:00.000Z · RSV Eintracht 3-1 Lichtenberg (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2024-04-20T11:00:00.000Z · RSV Eintracht 2-1 Lichtenberg (Oberliga - Nordost-Nord)
- 2023-10-07T12:00:00.000Z · RSV Eintracht 0-3 Lichtenberg (Oberliga - Nordost-Nord)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is RSV Eintracht win, at 88.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 47% and over 2.5 goals at 77%.
A 88% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.