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Saturday, 11 July 2026

· Analysis updated 07:56 UTC

RSV Eintracht vs Tennis Borussia Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.20 expected goals for RSV Eintracht and 1.64 for Tennis Borussia, a combined total of 2.84. That distribution gives Tennis Borussia the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Tennis Borussia win

47.6% probability

Low confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.20 – 1.64

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • RSV Eintracht home form

    1 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Tennis Borussia away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Tennis Borussia to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 28% / 24% / 48% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.20 goals for RSV Eintracht and 1.64 for Tennis Borussia, a combined 2.84 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

RSV Eintracht win28%
Draw24%
Tennis Borussia win48%

Double chance 1X

52%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

72%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals78%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Over 3.5 goals32%
Both teams to score56%

Correct score

  • 1–111.5%
  • 0–19.5%
  • 1–29.4%
  • 0–27.8%
  • 1–07.0%

Recent form

RSV Eintracht

  • 2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Hallescher FC · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Chemnitzer FC · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Altglienicke · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-16T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Greifswalder FC · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt · 0-5 (L)

Tennis Borussia

  • 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Optik Rathenow · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Siedenbollentin · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-25T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Lichtenberg · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Hansa Rostock II · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Anker Wismar · 1-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Tennis Borussia win, at 47.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.

A 48% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.