Rubin Kazan 2 vs Akron II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.45 expected goals for Rubin Kazan 2 and 1.97 for Akron II, a combined total of 3.43. That distribution gives Akron II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Akron II win

49.9% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.45 – 1.97

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Rubin Kazan 2 home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Akron II away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 1 of the last 8 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Rubin Kazan 2 win28%

Draw22%

Akron II win50%

Double chance 1X

50%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

72%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals86%

Over 2.5 goals67%

Over 3.5 goals45%

Both teams to score66%

Correct score

1–19.3%
1–29.2%
2–16.8%
2–26.7%
0–16.4%

Recent form

Rubin Kazan 2

2026-09-27T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Izhevsk · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Orenburg II · 3-3 (D)
2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Nosta · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-06T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Chelyabinsk II · 0-1 (L)
2026-08-30T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Ural II · 3-2 (W)

Akron II

2026-08-16T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Krylya Sovetov II · 4-0 (W)
2026-08-09T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod · 7-2 (W)
2026-08-02T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Ural II · 3-1 (W)
2026-07-26T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Chelyabinsk II · 2-0 (W)
2026-07-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-06-21T13:00:00.000Z · Rubin Kazan 2 1-0 Akron II (Second League - Group 4)
2026-04-19T10:00:00.000Z · Rubin Kazan 2 0-1 Akron II (Second League - Group 4)
2025-09-01T10:00:00.000Z · Rubin Kazan 2 1-3 Akron II (Second League - Group 4)
2025-05-25T12:00:00.000Z · Rubin Kazan 2 5-0 Akron II (Second League - Group 4)
2024-10-12T11:00:00.000Z · Rubin Kazan 2 2-0 Akron II (Second League - Group 4)
2024-07-06T16:00:00.000Z · Rubin Kazan 2 2-0 Akron II (Second League - Group 4)
2023-11-05T11:00:00.000Z · Rubin Kazan 2 1-0 Akron II (Second League - Group 4)
2023-09-09T13:00:00.000Z · Rubin Kazan 2 2-0 Akron II (Second League - Group 4)

Second League - Group 4 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Khimik Dzerzhinsk	22	18	2	2	41	56
2	KDV	22	17	2	3	20	53
3	Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod	22	13	4	5	18	43
4	Akron II	22	10	2	10	12	32
5	Krylya Sovetov II	22	6	9	7	-1	27
6	Dinamo Barnaul	22	7	5	10	-19	26
7	Orenburg II	22	6	8	8	-4	26
8	Izhevsk	22	5	8	9	-2	23
9	Ural II	22	5	7	10	-10	22
10	Rubin Kazan 2	22	4	8	10	-10	20
11	Nosta	22	4	6	12	-28	18
12	Chelyabinsk II	22	4	5	13	-17	17

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Akron II win, at 49.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.

A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.