Rubio NU vs Fulgencio Yegros Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.03 expected goals for Rubio NU and 1.10 for Fulgencio Yegros, a combined total of 2.13. That distribution gives Fulgencio Yegros the largest share of the 1X2 market at 37%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 36% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 37% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

66.8% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.03 – 1.10

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Rubio NU home form
5 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Fulgencio Yegros away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Fulgencio Yegros to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 37%, against 33% / 30% / 37% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.03 goals for Rubio NU and 1.10 for Fulgencio Yegros, a combined 2.13 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Rubio NU win33%

Draw30%

Fulgencio Yegros win37%

Double chance 1X

63%

Double chance 12

70%

Double chance X2

67%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals63%

Over 2.5 goals36%

Over 3.5 goals17%

Both teams to score43%

Correct score

1–113.5%
0–113.1%
1–012.2%
0–011.9%
1–27.4%

Recent form

Rubio NU

2026-10-11T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Olimpia · 0-0 (D)
2026-10-06T20:00:00.000Z · A vs Sportivo Ameliano · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-30T22:30:00.000Z · A vs Cerro Porteno · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-26T19:30:00.000Z · H vs 2 de Mayo · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-19T21:30:00.000Z · A vs Cerro Porteno · 0-1 (L)

Fulgencio Yegros

2026-08-11T17:00:00.000Z · A vs 4 de Mayo · 2-3 (L)
2025-05-29T18:30:00.000Z · A vs 24 de Setiembre · 3-3 (D)
2025-05-28T22:00:00.000Z · A vs San Pedro Del Parana · 1-2 (L)
2024-07-11T22:30:00.000Z · H vs Atlético Tembetary · 0-1 (L)
2022-08-11T22:30:00.000Z · H vs General Caballero · 0-3 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Division Intermedia table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Deportivo Santani	29	18	3	8	22	57
2	General Caballero	29	17	5	7	21	56
3	12 de Junio VH	29	15	9	5	11	54
4	Paraguari AC	30	14	5	11	7	47
5	SOL DE America	30	10	15	5	7	45
6	Independiente F.b.c.	30	11	10	9	5	43
7	Sportivo Carapeguá	30	12	7	11	-6	43
8	Benjamín Aceval	29	12	6	11	4	42
9	Resistencia	29	10	9	10	0	39
10	Atlético Tembetary	30	10	7	13	-7	37
11	Deportivo Capiata	29	8	11	10	-3	35
12	Fernando De La Mora	29	9	7	13	-10	34
13	3 de Noviembre	30	7	9	14	-8	30
14	Guairena FC	30	7	8	15	-15	29
15	Tacuary	29	5	12	12	-14	27
16	Encarnación	30	7	5	18	-14	26

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 66.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 43% and over 2.5 goals at 36%.

A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.