Rudar Kakanj vs Mladost Doboj Kakanj Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.08 expected goals for Rudar Kakanj and 1.33 for Mladost Doboj Kakanj, a combined total of 3.40. That distribution gives Rudar Kakanj the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Rudar Kakanj win

54.7% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.08 – 1.33

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Rudar Kakanj home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 6 meetings.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Rudar Kakanj to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 55% / 21% / 24% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.08 goals for Rudar Kakanj and 1.33 for Mladost Doboj Kakanj, a combined 3.40 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Rudar Kakanj win55%

Draw21%

Mladost Doboj Kakanj win24%

Double chance 1X

76%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

45%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals85%

Over 2.5 goals66%

Over 3.5 goals44%

Both teams to score64%

Correct score

2–19.5%
1–19.2%
2–07.2%
1–06.9%
3–16.6%

Recent form

Rudar Kakanj

2026-10-17T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Budućnost Banovići · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Tomislav · 0-1 (L)
2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Vitez · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-26T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Posušje · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Čapljina · 2-1 (W)

Mladost Doboj Kakanj

Head-to-head

2024-06-09T15:30:00.000Z · Rudar Kakanj 2-2 Mladost Doboj Kakanj (1st League - FBiH)
2023-11-18T12:30:00.000Z · Rudar Kakanj 0-1 Mladost Doboj Kakanj (1st League - FBiH)
2023-05-13T15:00:00.000Z · Rudar Kakanj 3-0 Mladost Doboj Kakanj (1st League - FBiH)
2022-10-23T12:30:00.000Z · Rudar Kakanj 3-1 Mladost Doboj Kakanj (1st League - FBiH)
2022-05-25T15:30:00.000Z · Rudar Kakanj 1-0 Mladost Doboj Kakanj (1st League - FBiH)
2021-11-06T12:30:00.000Z · Rudar Kakanj 1-1 Mladost Doboj Kakanj (1st League - FBiH)

1st League - FBiH table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Posušje	11	8	3	0	10	27
2	Travnik	11	8	1	2	12	25
3	Sloboda Tuzla	11	6	3	2	10	21
4	Stupčanica Olovo	11	6	2	3	13	20
5	Igman Konjic	11	5	4	2	4	19
6	GOŠK Gabela	10	5	2	3	5	17
7	Bratstvo Gračanica	10	3	5	2	0	14
8	TOŠK Tešanj	10	4	2	4	0	14
9	Jedinstvo Bihać	11	3	4	4	1	13
10	Vitez	11	3	3	5	-5	12
11	Zvijezda Gradačac	11	3	2	6	1	11
12	Radnik Hadžići	11	3	1	7	-6	10
13	Budućnost Banovići	11	2	4	5	-9	10
14	Rudar Kakanj	10	2	2	6	-8	8
15	Čapljina	11	2	2	7	-13	8
16	Tomislav	11	2	2	7	-15	8

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Rudar Kakanj win, at 54.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.

A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.