Rudar Kakanj vs Travnik Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.66 expected goals for Rudar Kakanj and 1.87 for Travnik, a combined total of 2.53. That distribution gives Travnik the largest share of the 1X2 market at 66%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 46% for over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 66% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Travnik win

66.4% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

0.66 – 1.87

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Rudar Kakanj home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Travnik away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Rudar Kakanj win12%

Draw21%

Travnik win66%

Double chance 1X

34%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

88%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals72%

Over 2.5 goals46%

Over 3.5 goals25%

Both teams to score41%

Correct score

0–114.9%
0–213.9%
1–19.8%
1–29.2%
0–38.7%

Recent form

Rudar Kakanj

2026-10-17T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Budućnost Banovići · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Tomislav · 0-1 (L)
2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Vitez · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-26T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Posušje · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Čapljina · 2-1 (W)

Travnik

2026-10-24T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Jedinstvo Bihać · 4-0 (W)
2026-10-18T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Posušje · 0-1 (L)
2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Sloboda Tuzla · 0-2 (L)
2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs GOŠK Gabela · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-26T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Radnik Hadžići · 1-0 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-08-16T15:00:00.000Z · Rudar Kakanj 0-1 Travnik (1st League - FBiH)
2023-04-15T14:30:00.000Z · Rudar Kakanj 0-1 Travnik (1st League - FBiH)
2022-09-24T13:30:00.000Z · Rudar Kakanj 3-0 Travnik (1st League - FBiH)
2022-06-05T15:30:00.000Z · Rudar Kakanj 4-1 Travnik (1st League - FBiH)
2021-11-20T12:30:00.000Z · Rudar Kakanj 3-3 Travnik (1st League - FBiH)
2021-05-29T15:30:00.000Z · Rudar Kakanj 3-2 Travnik (1st League - FBiH)
2020-11-07T12:30:00.000Z · Rudar Kakanj 1-1 Travnik (1st League - FBiH)
2019-09-21T13:30:00.000Z · Rudar Kakanj 0-0 Travnik (1st League - FBiH)
2018-03-31T14:00:00.000Z · Rudar Kakanj 0-1 Travnik (1st League - FBiH)
2017-08-26T15:00:00.000Z · Rudar Kakanj 2-0 Travnik (1st League - FBiH)

1st League - FBiH table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Posušje	11	8	3	0	10	27
2	Travnik	11	8	1	2	12	25
3	Sloboda Tuzla	11	6	3	2	10	21
4	Stupčanica Olovo	11	6	2	3	13	20
5	GOŠK Gabela	11	6	2	3	7	20
6	Igman Konjic	11	5	4	2	4	19
7	TOŠK Tešanj	11	5	2	4	4	17
8	Bratstvo Gračanica	11	3	5	3	-2	14
9	Jedinstvo Bihać	11	3	4	4	1	13
10	Vitez	11	3	3	5	-5	12
11	Zvijezda Gradačac	11	3	2	6	1	11
12	Radnik Hadžići	11	3	1	7	-6	10
13	Budućnost Banovići	11	2	4	5	-9	10
14	Rudar Kakanj	11	2	2	7	-12	8
15	Čapljina	11	2	2	7	-13	8
16	Tomislav	11	2	2	7	-15	8

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Travnik win, at 66.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 41% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.

A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.