Bosnia · 1st League - RS · RS - 1413:00

13:00 UTC

Saturday, 31 October 2026

· Analysis updated 04:57 UTC

Rudar Prijedor vs FK Majevica Lopare Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.45 expected goals for Rudar Prijedor and 1.70 for FK Majevica Lopare, a combined total of 3.16. That distribution gives FK Majevica Lopare the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Draw/Away

67.1% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.45 – 1.70

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Rudar Prijedor home form

    9 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.

  • FK Majevica Lopare away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates FK Majevica Lopare to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 33% / 23% / 44% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.45 goals for Rudar Prijedor and 1.70 for FK Majevica Lopare, a combined 3.16 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Rudar Prijedor win33%
Draw23%
FK Majevica Lopare win44%

Double chance 1X

56%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

67%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Over 3.5 goals39%
Both teams to score63%

Correct score

  • 1–110.5%
  • 1–29.0%
  • 2–17.7%
  • 0–17.3%
  • 2–26.5%

Recent form

Rudar Prijedor

  • 2026-10-21T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Famos Vojkovići · 2-4 (L)
  • 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Zvijezda 09 · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-11T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Kozara Gradiška · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-10-03T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Omarska · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Laktaši · 0-3 (L)

FK Majevica Lopare

  • 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Drina Zvornik · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-17T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Slavija · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Velež Nevesinje · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Leotar · 0-6 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs FK Romanija Pale · 5-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1st League - RS table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Leotar1310302633
2Laktaši1310122931
3Drina Zvornik136341421
4Potkozarje13625120
5FK Majevica Lopare12543619
6Kozara Gradiška13544119
7Rudar Prijedor13535-318
8FK Romanija Pale13607-618
9Famos Vojkovići13526-517
10Slavija13364-515
11Sutjeska Foča12327-911
12Velež Nevesinje13328-2311
13Omarska13247-1110
14Zvijezda 0913229-158

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 67.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.

A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.