· Analysis updated 19:01 UTC
Rudar Prijedor vs Potkozarje Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.34 expected goals for Rudar Prijedor and 1.27 for Potkozarje, a combined total of 2.61. That distribution gives Rudar Prijedor the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Home/Draw
64.6% probability
Expected goals
1.34 – 1.27
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Rudar Prijedor home form
10 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Rudar Prijedor to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 38% / 26% / 35% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.34 goals for Rudar Prijedor and 1.27 for Potkozarje, a combined 2.61 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 48% and both teams to score at 53%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
65%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
62%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.5%
- 1–09.8%
- 0–19.4%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–28.0%
Recent form
Rudar Prijedor
- 2026-10-03T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Omarska · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Laktaši · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-23T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Drina Zvornik · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-19T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Sutjeska Foča · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-16T14:00:00.000Z · A vs FK Majevica Lopare · 0-3 (L)
Potkozarje
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
1st League - RS table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leotar | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 23 |
| 2 | Laktaši | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 22 |
| 3 | Drina Zvornik | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 15 |
| 4 | FK Majevica Lopare | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15 |
| 5 | Kozara Gradiška | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | Potkozarje | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 14 |
| 7 | FK Romanija Pale | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -8 | 12 |
| 8 | Rudar Prijedor | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 11 |
| 9 | Velež Nevesinje | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 11 |
| 10 | Famos Vojkovići | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 | Slavija | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -5 | 10 |
| 12 | Sutjeska Foča | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 8 |
| 13 | Omarska | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 5 |
| 14 | Zvijezda 09 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -13 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 64.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.