Rudar vs Kom Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.36 expected goals for Rudar and 1.35 for Kom, a combined total of 2.71. That distribution gives Rudar the largest share of the 1X2 market at 37%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 51% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 37% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

63.0% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.36 – 1.35

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Rudar home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Kom away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Rudar win37%

Draw26%

Kom win37%

Double chance 1X

63%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

63%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals75%

Over 2.5 goals51%

Over 3.5 goals29%

Both teams to score55%

Correct score

1–112.2%
1–09.1%
0–19.0%
2–18.3%
1–28.3%

Recent form

Rudar

2026-10-17T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Mogren · 0-0 (D)
2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Zeta · 3-2 (W)
2026-10-06T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Iskra · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-30T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Berane · 4-0 (W)
2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Grbalj · 1-3 (L)

Kom

2026-10-18T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Jedinstvo · 2-1 (W)
2026-10-15T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Petrovac · 0-2 (L)
2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Mladost Lješkopolje · 3-2 (W)
2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Mogren · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-30T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Zeta · 3-1 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-04-26T13:30:00.000Z · Rudar 4-1 Kom (Second League)
2026-03-08T13:30:00.000Z · Rudar 0-4 Kom (Second League)
2025-10-26T13:30:00.000Z · Rudar 0-3 Kom (Second League)
2025-09-06T17:00:00.000Z · Rudar 1-0 Kom (Second League)
2025-04-12T13:00:00.000Z · Rudar 1-4 Kom (Second League)
2024-12-03T12:00:00.000Z · Rudar 2-1 Kom (Second League)
2024-10-02T16:00:00.000Z · Rudar 0-1 Kom (Second League)
2024-08-10T15:00:00.000Z · Rudar 1-0 Kom (Second League)
2023-06-03T15:00:00.000Z · Rudar 2-1 Kom (First League)
2023-05-30T17:00:00.000Z · Rudar 1-1 Kom (First League)

Second League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Jedinstvo	13	7	2	4	10	23
2	Mladost Lješkopolje	12	6	5	1	7	23
3	Zeta	12	5	4	3	3	19
4	Lovćen	12	6	1	5	1	19
5	Kom	11	5	3	3	4	18
6	Iskra	12	5	2	5	1	17
7	Rudar	12	4	4	4	0	16
8	Grbalj	12	4	4	4	-4	16
9	Mogren	12	2	5	5	-1	11
10	Berane	12	0	2	10	-21	2

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 63.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.

A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.